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- Communicating uncertainty for each class of decision requires (i) characterizing uncertainty, by identifying the issues most relevant to the choice; (ii) assessing uncertainty, by summarizing that information in a useful form; and (iii) conveying uncertainty, by creating messages that afford decision makers the detail that their choices warrant.
www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4183175/
Feb 4, 2022 · Latour and Woolgar describe the nuanced ways in which scientists communicate about the degree of uncertainty in scientific claims, in which conjectures or hypotheses, when they are supported by data and analyses, become findings that are used by other scientists, with citations so that readers can establish their provenance and veracity.
- Communicating scientific uncertainty - PMC
Communicating uncertainty for each class of decision...
- Communicating scientific uncertainty - PMC
Sep 9, 2014 · Communicating uncertainty for each class of decision requires (i) characterizing uncertainty, by identifying the issues most relevant to the choice; (ii) assessing uncertainty, by summarizing that information in a useful form; and (iii) conveying uncertainty, by creating messages that afford decision makers the detail that their choices warrant ...
- Baruch Fischhoff, Alex L. Davis
- 10.1073/pnas.1317504111
- 2014
- 2014/09/09
Scientists may wish to communicate uncertainties, but they may be concerned about how to do so in meaningful ways while avoiding the perceived misuse of uncertainty claims by interest groups or the public.
May 8, 2019 · Research into how the communication of scientific uncertainty impacts trust and credibility is very sparse, and we found examples from only three forms of expression of uncertainty.
- Anne Marthe van der Bles, Sander van der Linden, Alexandra L. J. Freeman, James Mitchell, Ana Beatri...
- 2019
- Educational Studies of Students’ Understanding of Uncertainty
- Engaging Students in Analyzing and Quantifying Uncertainty
- Engaging Students with Claims About Uncertainty in Media Reports and Articles
Compared with the literature base in psychology, there are fewer educational studies of how students make sense of and learn to make sense of scientific claims about uncertainty (e.g., Manz, 2015, 2018; Metz, 2004; Pallant et al., 2020; Schroeder et al., 2019). Studies that have been conducted, however, suggest that even young students can demonstr...
Some pertinent scholarship on analyzing and quantifying uncertainty comes from researchers working on the borders between science and mathematics education, focusing on data and data modeling. We discuss three examples below. Modeling signal and noise in measurement. Lehrer, Schauble, and colleagues report on a series of studies in which upper elem...
The studies cited above focus on fostering students’ personal and collective engagement with phenomena. This focus appropriately shifts K-12 science education from the rhetoric of conclusions to engaging students with uncertainty as they participate in science practices such as analyzing data and models. However, it is also essential to build stude...
May 17, 1996 · Uncertainty is not an objective quantity but is socially constructed by context, rhetorical role, the assumption of purposes, and the acceptance of knowledge claims. In a particular case, the first step in deciding whether to communicate research findings to the public is appreciating how the uncertainties have been constructed.
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Oct 24, 2019 · Abstract. Contrary to what lay people may expect, uncertainty is inherent in science. Scientists admit that and recognize the difficulties in dealing with uncertainties inherent in the respective procedures. These uncertainties are a cause for concern and a motivation to improve these procedures; however, they are often mistakenly considered by ...
