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  1. 2 days ago · Economic strength is a key determinant of national power in world politics, and if China were to greatly surpass the United States in national economic power, it could gain the resources for a realistic bid to impose its hegemony on the world. 7 Were this to occur, a modus vivendi would be nearly impossible to achieve and the chances of hegemonic war between the United States and China would ...

  2. Jan 12, 2024 · But even as most Chinese support stabilizing ties with the United States, the entrenched view in Beijing and across the broader Chinese public remains that the U.S. desire to preserve its ...

  3. Jan 3, 2024 · From 2018 to 2023, U.S.-China relations were in a linear downward spiral. The trade war, the pandemic, growing technology competition, rising tensions in the South China Sea and the Taiwan Strait, and contrasting approaches to the Russia-Ukraine conflict have collectively fed a sense of fatalism that the countries were heading toward the abyss of outright economic decoupling and a disastrous ...

    • Chinese Views on U.S.-China Relations
    • China’s Realities at Home
    • Competition & Cooperation in Security, Ideas and Rules
    • Competition & Cooperation in Trade, Investment, and Technology
    • Ard Coexistence 2.0: What Should The U.S. do?
    • What Does History Tell Us?

    The mood at the symposium reflected the growing pessimism about U.S.-China relations. In the opening panel, two prominent Chinese experts on the U.S. confirmed that this view is shared within China as well. Zha Daojiong, Professor of International Political Economy at Peking University, noted that the U.S. remains unrivaled in its power, but its ke...

    China faces an increasingly challenging domestic political environment. The next panel focused on how these challenges shape the government’s actions, which, in turn, contribute to growing tensions in its relationship with the rest of the world. The speakers agreed that Party General Secretary Xi Jinping’s autocratic and ideologically driven govern...

    On the panel on U.S.-China competition in security, Graham Allison, opened by noting historical parallels between the contemporary and the U.S.’s rise in the nineteenth century. “I try to put this in a historical canvas, and I ask about the rise of the U.S. and Teddy Roosevelt, and what he thought about having foreigners in our hemisphere… In terms...

    Opening the first afternoon panel, Mark Wu, Director of the Fairbank Center and Henry L. Stimson Professor at Harvard Law School, posed a question to panelists of what is “the level of partial decoupling or selective decoupling” desired and in service of what end goal. Expanding on his question, he posited that the U.S. and China had incompatible l...

    Speaking on the final panel of the day, experts expressed differing views on how the U.S. should address China’s rise. Melanie Hart, China Policy Coordinator for the Office of Undersecretary of State for Economic Growth, Energy and Environment, noted that the downturn in U.S.-China relations is “hard” for experts who have spent their lives working ...

    Closing the symposium, Winston Lord, former U.S. Ambassador to the People’s Republic of China, noted that “when [the U.S.] opened up to China, we felt that over the long run…that China in the distant future would reassert itself. But nobody could have envisioned their astonishing growth and how fast they’ve reached the point of becoming one of the ...

  4. Oct 11, 2024 · A decade ago, Washington saw China as a potential co-leader in global governance. Now, the U.S. consensus is that China is a rival, not a partner. Then-U.S. President Barack Obama offers a toast ...

  5. Dec 8, 2021 · Taiwan, Trade, Tech and More: A Tense Era in U.S.-China Ties. The Biden administration has called managing America’s relationship with Beijing “the biggest geopolitical test of the 21st ...

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  7. Taylor Fravel & Eric Heginbotham's latest reasearch essay appears on the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace's "U.S.-China Relations for the 2030s: Toward a Realistic Scenario for Coexistence." Along with several other contributors, Christopher S. Chivvis, Mariano-Florentino (Tino) Cuéllar writes, "It has become difficult to imagine how Washington and Beijing might turn their ...

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