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  1. Feb 12, 2022 · When testing it against max exit velocity, average exit velocity is more descriptive of home run rate and home runs per batted ball event. Looking at home runs per batted ball event last year, we see an R2 of just .272 with max exit velocity. It is interesting because max exit velocity seems like it would be a better indicator of home runs. You ...

    • Chris Clegg
    • Is Max exit velocity a better indicator of home runs per batted ball?1
    • Is Max exit velocity a better indicator of home runs per batted ball?2
    • Is Max exit velocity a better indicator of home runs per batted ball?3
    • Is Max exit velocity a better indicator of home runs per batted ball?4
  2. Nov 14, 2023 · When testing it against max exit velocity, average exit velocity is more descriptive of the home run rate and home runs per batted ball event. Looking at home runs per batted ball event last year, we see an R2 of just .312 for max exit velocity versus .369 for average exit velocity. It is interesting because max exit velocity seems like it ...

  3. Dec 8, 2023 · It’s just the exit velocity of that one batted ball. Back in the beginning of the year, Ben Clemens spent a few weeks digging through exit velocity data in search of 2023 breakout candidates. Specifically, he was focused on players with solid 95th-percentile exit velocity numbers but unimpressive average exit velocity numbers or contact rates .

  4. Statcast Exit Velocity & Launch Angle Field Breakdown. * Use the below axis to select an Exit Velocity and Launch Angle to show results based on similar batted balls. * For a detailed table view of exit velocity & launch angle, click here. 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 Exit Velocity 80 60 40 20 0 −20 −40 −60 −80 Launch Angle.

  5. Oct 30, 2020 · This suggests that all exit velocity thresholds, like Hard%, increase by 1.5 to 2 percentage points with each additional mile-per-hour of max EV. (For example, if the average hitter improves his max EV from 108 mph to 110 mph, we can expect his hard-hit rate to increase from 35.1% to 38.1% — and his percentage of balls hit 105+ mph to increase from 4.5% to 7.9%.)

    • Alex Chamberlain
  6. Jul 18, 2016 · The impact speed is the sum of pitch and swing speeds. For a pitch moving at 85 mph as it crosses home plate, a bat speed of about 77 mph is needed to obtain an exit speed of 103 mph, which is about the mean value for home runs. So the impact speed is 85+77=162 mph. So to obtain a change in exit speed by 1.5 mph would require a change of COR of ...

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  8. Jan 5, 2024 · A hard-hit rate is the percentage of contact with a minimum 95 mph exit velocity. As suggested, there has been a lot of research using AEV as a gauge of home run potential. The treatment of expected home runs is a topic for a future essay and will focus on the fly ball component of exit velocity.