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2.6 percent
- We now expect real GDP to expand by 2.6 percent year-over-year in 2024, an upward revision from 2.4 percent. Some moderate growth at yearend and early next year may constrain annual 2025 growth to 1.7 percent despite expectations of stronger quarterly annualized growth over the course of that year.
www.conference-board.org/research/us-forecast
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Sep 20, 2024 · The Q3 2024 forecast indicates how robust consumer spending, high business investment, and lower interest rates have kept optimism about the US economy intact. However, risks like geopolitical tensions and persistently high inflation remain.
Oct 23, 2024 · US economic data continue to surprise to the upside, revealing ongoing resilience despite looming uncertainties and persistent shocks. We now expect real GDP to expand by 2.6 percent year-over-year in 2024, an upward revision from 2.4 percent.
- The U.S. Consumer Could Begin to Bend, But Not break.
- Pressures on The Commercial Real Estate Sector Are Likely to intensify.
- Geopolitical Risks Will Remain Top of Mind.
There are numerous reasons to expect consumer spending growth to slow next year from its firm pace in 2023: diminished excess savings, plateauing wage gains, low savings rates and less pent-up demand. Additionally, the restart of student loan payments and uptick in subprime auto and millennial credit card delinquencies are emerging signs of stress ...
The higher-for-longer interest rate environment and challenges among small and regional banks are resulting in tightening of lending standards and slowing slow growth. This is occurring across all loan types, but most acutely for the commercial real estate sector, where small and regional banks have meaningful exposure. With nearly $550 billion of ...
Elevated trade tensions with China, the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war and conflict in the Middle East all point to continued uncertainties and risks heading into 2024. While direct U.S. economic impact has been limited thus far, the larger risk is for a supply shock of a critical commodity or good—energy, food, semiconductors—that triggers significant...
Nov 14, 2023 · Goldman Sachs Research expects GDP to grow 1.8% in 2024 on a Q4/Q4 basis (or 2.1% on a full-year basis), again easily beating low consensus expectations. Our economists forecast just under 2% consumption growth, with real disposable income growth of nearly 3% partly offset by a 1pp rise in the saving rate and expect the FOMC to deliver its ...
Sep 24, 2024 · S&P Global Ratings expects the U.S. economy to expand 2.7% in 2024 and 1.8% in 2025 (on an annual average basis). The growth forecasts are 0.2 and 0.1 percentage point higher, respectively, compared with our June forecasts, partly reflecting the impulse from financial conditions that turned more positive and partly on stronger core goods ...
Jan 2, 2024 · What will the economy be like in 2024? Forecasters expect the economy to grow 1.3% this year, down from a projected 2.4% in 2023 but above their 0.7% estimate in July, according to a survey by...
Sep 26, 2024 · The U.S. current-account deficit widened by $25.8 billion, or 10.7 percent, to $266.8 billion in the second quarter of 2024, according to statistics released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.
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related to: What will the US economy look like in 2024?Economic Forecasts and Investing Trends from Our Team of Investment Professionals. Explore Perspectives on Markets, Outlooks and Sector Deep Dives with Industry Pros.