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Mar 23, 2024 · Ohio was the model bellwether state until 2020. In that year, Ohio gave a solid majority of its vote to then-incumbent President Donald Trump, but he still lost the White House to Joe Biden.
- Ron Elving
Aug 10, 2023 · Despite Ohio's changing electorate, as of 2023, Ohio's presidential primary has accurately picked all but three presidents in more than a century, tied with Florida, Nevada, and New Mexico, per The Cincinnati Enquirer. For this reason, Ohio's political importance is unlikely to change any time soon.
Oct 11, 2024 · Ohio used to be a key swing state in the presidential election for decades — meaning lots of political ads and campaign stops — but the tide shifted back in 2016, said Kyle Kondik, managing editor of Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics.
Oct 11, 2012 · Ohio is the most important state on Nov. 6 -- especially for Mitt Romney who faces a very rocky path to 270 electoral votes without it.
- The Electoral College Gives States Power
- Have There Always Been Swing States?
- Why Do Swing States Matter?
- What Dynamics Create Swing States?
The Founding Fathers were divided on how to pick a president. Some wanted Congress to select the nation’s leader, while others wanted to citizens to vote directly. The Electoral College was created as a compromise. The Constitution grants each state a number of electors based on the combined total of the state’s delegates in the Senate and House of...
There is a reason why swing states exist in the United States—the U.S. voting system is structured around states. As John Hudak, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution explains, “Our presidential election system is designed to make states the important jurisdictional unit in voting." Hudak credits the highly competitive 1800 presidential elec...
The claim that “every vote counts” is especially true in swing states. Close presidential elections throughout American history have borne this out: Harry S. Truman defeated Thomas Dewey in 1948 by winning by less than one percent of the popular vote in then-swing states like Ohio, California, Indiana, Illinois and New York—a race so close that new...
There are three main factors that can create swing states, and they often overlap and are all at play. 1. Population Changes. Urban areas tend to vote Democratic and rural areas tend to lean Republican. When citizens leave liberal-leaning coasts or major cities to settle in smaller cities or more rural areas, they can alter the balance between part...
- Jessica Pearce Rotondi
Mar 21, 2024 · For many years, Ohio has been thought of as a bellwether state: With rare exceptions, whoever won Ohio in a presidential election won the nation as a whole.
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Aug 6, 2015 · “The simple explanation is that of all the big states that matter in the Electoral College, Ohio is the closest to being a microcosm of the country,” says John Green, a professor of political science at the University of Akron, who has identified “Five Ohios,” each with its own voting patterns.
