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1 day ago · Latest updates. For the first time since 538 published our presidential election forecast for Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, Trump has taken the lead (if a very small one) over Harris. As of 3 p.m. Eastern on Oct. 18, our model gives Trump a 52-in-100 chance of winning the majority of Electoral College votes.
- G. Elliott Morris
3 days ago · 2024 Election What weeks of early-voting data tell us about how Democrats and Republicans are turning out in 2024 As some battleground states start early voting, Virginia has been going for weeks.
1 day ago · Last updated on October 18th 2024. Simulated elections*. Kamala Harris wins 54 in 100 times. ↓ 1 since yesterday ↑ 3 in past 7 days. 203 203 366 366 172 172 335 335 273 273 265 265. Donald ...
Aug 8, 2024 · A guide to the battleground states in the 2024 election fight between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. ... meaning a late wave of blue energy could shift this long-promised and never-realized ...
3 days ago · What’s changed: We’ve added a new set of national polls recently, but the race remains mostly unchanged for now — slightly closer than it was a week ago. Vice President Kamala Harris leads ...
1 day ago · Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here. On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024.
Sep 3, 2024 · The state of the 2024 race, explained in 7 charts. Polls show a tight race. But there are other figures that can help explain where this campaign is headed. by Nicole Narea. Sep 3, 2024, 3:30 AM ...
