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  1. Mar 9, 2020 · The outbreak of the new coronavirus (COVID-19) has added a major layer of uncertainty to the oil market outlook at the start of the forecast period covered by this report. In 2020, global oil demand is expected to contract for the first time since the global recession of 2009.

    • Recap 2020
    • Short-Term Up to 2025
    • Long-Term Up to 2040

    Demand has partially recoveredsince April 2020 but still ended the year approximately 9 million barrels per day (MMb/d) below the 2019 level, with continued COVID-19-related lockdown measures in January 2021 keeping it around 6 MMb/d lower than January 2019. Supply remained robust until April 2020 and then dropped by 13 to 14 MMb/d in May, driven b...

    Oil demand is expected to return to 2019 levels by late 2021 to early 2022, depending on the duration of lockdowns and the pace of GDP recovery. Based on our Global Energy Perspectivereference-case demand insights, current OPEC+ intervention will be sufficient to help balance the market in 2021, with prices remaining at a sustained level of $50 to ...

    Long-term equilibrium oil prices have decreased by $10 to $15/bbl compared with pre-COVID-19 outlooks, as driven by a flattening cost curve and lower demand. Under an OPEC-control scenario, in which OPEC maintains its market share, we see a $50 to $60/bbl equilibrium price range in the long term, fueling 10 to 11 MMb/d US shale oil and 11 to 13 MMb...

  2. Feb 13, 2020 · Overall 2020 oil demand is now forecast at 100.97 million b/d, 480,000 b/d below the IEA's previous estimate. "Before the outbreak of Covid-19, [China] was expected to drive over a third of oil consumption growth in 2020, but now we think it will be less than a fifth," the IEA said in its latest monthly oil market report. Global oil demand ...

  3. 4 days ago · Global oil demand is expected to grow by just under 900 kb/d in 2024 and by around 1 mb/d in 2025, significantly lower than the 2 mb/d seen in 2023. Chinese oil demand is particularly weak, with consumption dropping by 500 kb/d y-o-y in August – its fourth consecutive month of declines.

  4. Feb 9, 2020 · 2020 supply stack Production Oil sands from sanctioned projects 0.3 OPEC Gulf Shale oil (including production from spare capacity 92.3 –37.1 2.4 41.7 7.8 4.1 100.8 37.6 MMb/d NGL and other liquids2 Other3 OPEC Gulf Shale oil4 Oil sands Deepwater Shallow water Crude and condensate = 76.5 79.3 Global oil-supply growth 2020–40, MMb/d ...

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  5. 3 days ago · Global oil demand is projected to peak by the end of the decade as climate and energy-security risks push countries to accelerate electrifying their economies to meet surging demand, the ...

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  7. Jun 12, 2024 · In parallel, a surge in global oil production capacity, led by the United States and other producers in the Americas, is expected to outstrip demand growth between now and 2030. Total supply capacity is forecast to rise to nearly 114 million barrels a day by 2030 – a staggering 8 million barrels per day above projected global demand, the report finds.

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